Thursday, September 15, 2005

Political polling, statistics and other lies

Here is a VERY early look at some statewide races. These are presented merely for conversation and the source is secretive, so take it for what it's worth. It's been posted all over the place, but I would like your reactions.

Beebe leading Hutchinson in race for Governor. Lendall and Bryan trail considerably.

Atty. Gen. Mike Beebe of Searcy, Democrat, garners support from 42% of Arkansas voters. His Republican counterpart, ex-Cong. Asa Hutchinson of Fort Smith is statistically tied with 35% of Arkansas voters. Ex-State Rep. Jim Lendall of Mabelvale has 2% and record store owner Rod Bryan of Little Rock has less than 1%. 20% of voters are undecided.

Question Wording: If the race for Arkansas Governor were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

Wooldridge leads but Hathorn & Pritt both closely matched in Democratic primary for Arkansas Lt. Gov :

State Sen. Tim Wooldridge of Paragould garners support from 27% of Arkansas Democrats for the May 2006 primary compared with 21% for State Rep. Mike Hathorn of Huntsville and 17% for pol. consultant Drew Pritt of Warren. State Rep. Jay Martin of North Little Rock garners 5%. 30% of Democrats are undecided.

Question Wording: If the May 2006 Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

Holt has lead, but large undecided base makes this a competitive race all around in Republican primary for Arkansas Lt. Gov:

State Sen. Jim Holt of Springdale leads his opponents with 33% of the vote. His nearest competitor is investment banker Rick Calhoun of Little Rock who garner 15%, followed by attorney Chuck Banks of Little Rock at 12% and State Rep. Doug Matayo
of Springdale at 10%. 30% of voters are undecided.

Question Wording: If the May 2006 Republican primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

McDaniel has early lead for Attorney General, trailed by Suskie and Herzfeld for Arkansas Attorney General :

State Rep. Dustin McDaniel of Jonesboro has an early lead with 38% of the vote. City Attorney Paul Suskie of North Little Rock has 21% and prosecutor Robert Herzfeld of Benton has 13% of the vote. 38% of the voters are undecided.

Question Wording: If the May 2006 Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

Comments:
Thanks for posting this Pat. There are also some graphs for these polls at http://arkansaspolitics.com/blog/

Funny how some blogs aren't posting these polls. I guess they don't like the results?
 
Some blogs are not posting it because the source was anonymous and poll is obviously made up. With the exception of Beebe and Hutchinson, none of the other candidates have enough name recogniton to warrant their numbers being so high. The cost of this poll would be huge dollars. It has been leaked that it came from a candidate. No way. No candidate would spend that much money to poll races that they are not involved in. The poll is a sham. It is not being reported in other places because it is not credible.
 
Further proof the poll is a sham. The numbers in the AG's race don't even equal 100%.

38 + 21 + 13 + 38 = 110
 
CAn you please explain how you came about these stats? Chuck Banks at 12%????

Come on, let's get for real.
 
5 percent for Pritt?
 
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